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Will Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd (TVE) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Tamarack Valley Energy has beaten earnings estimates in two of its last four reported quarters. Its next result will be compared with a consensus based on one analyst, while oil prices and operating performance remain key factors.

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. (TSX: TVE, TVE.TO) is scheduled to report results before market open on October 28, 2026, for the quarter ended September 30. The available calendar lists EPS consensus at C$0.22, based on one analyst. An earlier calendar snapshot lists C$0.30, so the estimates differ across the supplied data.

Recent earnings trend

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Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd

TVE.TO

Full stock page →

TVE.TO

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $2.32 (18.18%)
120 day period
$12.00$13.53$15.06May 4Jul 29Oct 23

Market cap

$7.13B

P/E

301.2x

Div. yield

1.08%

Div. / share

$0.16

52W high

$15.15

52W low

$5.98

1W change

+3.79%

Beta

1.14

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering TVE · as of Oct 26, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast TVE stock price to rise 13.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$17.13

+13.7% Upside

Previously C$16.98 on Oct 23, 2026

Current Price

C$15.06

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on TVE's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$11.77C$14.91C$18.05C$21.19C$24.32C$27.46TodayJun 16Aug 20Oct 23Dec 5Jan 18Mar 2

30-Day Vol

32.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

34.5%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$18.00

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$15.98C$14.27 – C$17.90
60 trading daysC$16.96C$14.45 – C$19.91
90 trading daysC$18.00C$14.79 – C$21.91

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-28—0.2700—
2026-06-302026-07-270.43000.3900+10.3%
2026-03-312026-05-060.01000.1400-92.9%
2025-12-312026-02-250.12000.0200+500.0%
2025-09-302025-10-29-0.50000.0600-933.3%
2025-06-302025-07-300.17000.0900+88.9%
-0.5000-0.03500.4300 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Tamarack’s recent results have been mixed. It beat estimates in two of its last four comparable quarters. The upcoming report will show how earnings held up amid changes in commodity prices and operating costs, both important to this Alberta oil and gas producer. Read more on the Tamarack Valley Energy stock page.

Investor takeaway: The C$0.22 consensus is based on one analyst, not a broad analyst view, and another supplied calendar snapshot lists C$0.30. Tamarack beat estimates in two of its last four reported quarters, but results ranged from a 92.86% miss in March to a 10.26% beat in June. Focus on the reported results and operating context rather than treating one estimate as a reliable verdict.

C$0.22

That’s the available EPS consensus for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, based on one analyst. Another supplied calendar snapshot shows C$0.30, so the estimates don’t match. Tamarack beat estimates in two of its last four reported quarters and missed in the other two.

Bull case

Tamarack’s June-quarter EPS of C$0.43 topped the C$0.39 estimate. Its December-quarter result also beat expectations. Company news says waterflooding at its Clearwater and Charlie Lake heavy-oil operations has supported well productivity and lower decline rates. If those improvements continue, they could help stabilize production and per-barrel costs, supporting earnings. Tamarack’s Alberta production also leaves the company exposed to oil prices.

Bear case

Tamarack’s recent results have been uneven. In March, EPS was C$0.01 against an estimate of C$0.14. In the year-ago September quarter, the company reported a C$0.50 loss, compared with an expected loss of C$0.06. The consensus comes from one analyst, and no revenue estimate is available, which limits what investors can learn from forecasts. Oil prices, Canadian oil differentials, operating costs and production execution can all affect results. The supplied fundamentals show a 1.62% profit margin and trailing EPS of C$0.05, a reminder that quarterly earnings can swing sharply.

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Analysis

Tamarack is due to report before market open on October 28 for the quarter ended September 30. The available calendar lists EPS consensus at C$0.22, based on one analyst. An earlier snapshot lists C$0.30, so treat the consensus as a limited and inconsistent reference, not a firm benchmark. No usable revenue consensus is available.

The report will show whether Tamarack can build on its June result, when EPS of C$0.43 beat the C$0.39 estimate. Its heavy-oil operations in Alberta’s Clearwater and Charlie Lake plays provide useful business context. Company news points to waterflooding, well productivity, decline rates and per-barrel operating costs as factors that may affect production stability and margins. The supplied information doesn’t include forecasts for production, realized prices or quarterly margins, so those figures shouldn’t be assumed.

Analysis

Tamarack beat EPS estimates in two of its last four reported quarters, but results varied widely. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, EPS was C$0.43 against an estimate of C$0.39, a 10.26% beat. In March, EPS of C$0.01 missed the C$0.14 estimate by 92.86%. December EPS of C$0.12 topped the C$0.02 estimate. In the September 2025 quarter, Tamarack reported a C$0.50 loss against an expected loss of C$0.06, a 933.33% negative surprise.

This history makes the upcoming estimate worth watching, but it doesn’t show a consistent pattern of beats. The supplied fundamentals list trailing EPS of C$0.05, a P/E of 301.2 and a profit margin of 1.62%. These figures offer context, but they don’t replace the quarterly report. For more company data, visit the TVE stock page.

Analysis

TVE closed at C$15.06 on October 23, above its 50-day moving average of C$13.67 and 200-day moving average of C$12.02. It was also near its 52-week high of C$15.15. The supplied data shows the stock gained 15.94% over the past month. These figures describe recent share-price performance, not the likely earnings result.

The analyst-target section lists an average target of C$17.13, 13.7% above the last close, and describes the comparison as moderately bullish. See the analyst ratings and price targets. The Wealth Awesome 90-day price forecast is a statistical model, not financial advice. It gives a mean forecast of C$18.00, with a 68% range of C$14.79 to C$21.91 and a 95% range of C$12.16 to C$26.66. These projections are uncertain. They aren’t earnings guidance or a promise of future returns.

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Wealth Awesome
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Published: October 26, 2026
Last Updated: October 26, 2026

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