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Will Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp. (PZA) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

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Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp. reports results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after market close on November 2. One analyst expects earnings per share of C$0.23 and revenue of C$156.2 million. That EPS estimate is 2.5% below the year-ago figure of C$0.24, while revenue is expected to fall 1.6%. With only one analyst covering the company, these estimates offer a limited snapshot, not a broad consensus. Follow PZA.TO on our PZA stock page.

Investor takeaway: The November 2 report will show whether Pizza Pizza can stabilize sales and earnings after a weak second quarter. In its Q2 2026 results, the company reported a 5.0% drop in same-store sales, a 3.6% decline in royalty-pool sales and a 5.4% fall in adjusted EPS. It pointed to cautious consumer spending and promotional competition. The Q3 EPS estimate has stayed at C$0.23 over the past 30 days. PZA beat estimates in one of its last four quarters, missed once and matched twice. Its 61-quarter history offers context, but recent results don’t show a dependable pattern of beats.

Recent earnings trend

Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp.

PZA.TO

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PZA.TO

Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $3.55 (-25.21%)
120 day period
$10.14$12.11$14.07May 8Aug 5Oct 29

Market cap

$357.99M

P/E

11.6x

Div. yield

8.58%

Div. / share

$0.91

52W high

$16.00

52W low

$10.04

1W change

-0.92%

Beta

0.63

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering PZA · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast PZA stock price to rise 13.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$12.00

+13.3% Upside

Current Price

C$10.59

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on PZA's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$6.83C$8.20C$9.57C$10.94C$12.32C$13.69TodayJun 22Aug 26Oct 29Dec 11Jan 24Mar 8

30-Day Vol

18.7%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

18.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$8.80

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$9.91C$9.29 – C$10.58
60 trading daysC$9.34C$8.53 – C$10.23
90 trading daysC$8.80C$7.87 – C$9.84

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-02—0.2300—
2026-06-302026-08-050.23000.2300+0.0%
2026-03-312026-05-010.22000.2300-4.3%
2025-12-312026-03-250.24500.2400+2.1%
2025-09-302025-11-040.24000.2400+0.0%
2025-06-302025-08-070.24000.2400+0.0%
0.00000.12500.2500 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

C$0.23

That’s the one-analyst EPS estimate for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The company reports after market close on November 2. The estimate is 2.5% below year-ago EPS of C$0.24. In its last four reported quarters, PZA beat estimates once, matched twice and missed once.

Bull case

If PZA meets the C$0.23 estimate, investors will want to see whether sales improved from Q2. The company most recently declared a monthly dividend of C$0.0675 per share, which may draw attention from investors focused on income and cash generation. Its quoted dividend yield is 8.58%, but that doesn’t guarantee future payments or share-price gains. The average analyst price target is C$12.00, compared with the last close of C$10.59. That suggests 13.3% upside, but a price target is not a promise.

Bear case

Analysts expect both EPS and revenue to decline. Q2’s drops in same-store and royalty-pool sales also point to pressure on the business. Cautious consumer spending and promotional competition could continue to weigh on results. PZA’s last close of C$10.59 was below its 50-day moving average of C$11.12 and its 200-day average of C$13.68. The share price was also closer to its 52-week low of C$10.04 than its high of C$16.00. With only one analyst behind the estimate, it could change significantly.

Wealth Awesome
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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: November 2, 2026
Last Updated: November 2, 2026

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