Alamos Gold will report third-quarter results after the market closes on October 28. Forecasts point to higher earnings than a year ago, but recent estimate cuts and a weaker share price make the results worth watching.
Alamos Gold Inc. (TSX: AGI) is set to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. One earnings calendar lists an EPS estimate of C$0.45. A separate trends feed gives a six-analyst consensus of C$0.65, with estimates ranging from C$0.45 to C$0.98. These figures differ, so check which source your data provider uses. The trends feed also lists revenue consensus of US$526.72 million, based on one analyst. Alamos has beaten EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters, but this report will show whether earnings growth is keeping pace with expectations. For more on the company and its shares, see the Alamos Gold stock page.
Recent earnings trend
Advertisement
Alamos Gold Inc
AGI.TO
AGI.TO
Alamos Gold Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$17.75B
P/E
11.0x
Div. yield
0.29%
Div. / share
$0.13
52W high
$75.55
52W low
$37.99
1W change
-6.57%
Beta
1.40
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AGI · as of Oct 23, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AGI stock price to rise 53.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$64.90
+53.0% Upside
Previously C$64.93 on Oct 22, 2026
Current Price
C$42.41
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AGI's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
40.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
57.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+5.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$43.18
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$42.66 | C$37.05 – C$49.13 |
| 60 trading days | C$42.92 | C$35.16 – C$52.40 |
| 90 trading days | C$43.18 | C$33.81 – C$55.14 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Analyst coverage: 6 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | — | 0.4500 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.5900 | 0.5300 | +11.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 | 0.5500 | 0.5500 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.5400 | 0.5000 | +8.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-28 | 0.3700 | 0.3600 | +2.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.3400 | 0.3300 | +3.0% |
Investor takeaway: The outlook points to year-over-year EPS growth, but estimates vary. The earnings calendar lists C$0.45, while the six-analyst trends consensus is C$0.65. That consensus has fallen from C$0.68 over the past 30 days, with one upward and three downward revisions. Alamos beat estimates in three of its last four quarters, but past results don’t guarantee another surprise. The report will help investors assess whether earnings and revenue are tracking forecasts. A consensus estimate is not a promise.
C$0.65 EPS consensus—with a separate calendar estimate of C$0.45
The trends feed’s six-analyst consensus is C$0.65 per share, compared with year-ago EPS of C$0.37. Estimates range widely, from C$0.45 to C$0.98. A separate earnings calendar lists C$0.45, so check which estimate your data provider uses. The trends feed also forecasts revenue of US$526.72 million, but that figure is based on one analyst.
Bull case
The trends feed forecasts EPS growth of 75.5% from C$0.37 a year ago, along with revenue growth of 13.9%. Alamos has also beaten EPS estimates in three recent quarters: C$0.59 versus C$0.53 in June, C$0.54 versus C$0.50 in December, and C$0.37 versus C$0.36 in September 2025. Company coverage points to growth from its Island Gold, Young-Davidson and Mulatos mines. It also highlights plans to process high-grade Island Gold ore at the Magino mill, which could increase throughput and lower processing costs. The results will help investors see whether that growth is showing up in earnings.
Bear case
Recent estimate revisions have leaned downward. The trends consensus fell from C$0.68 to C$0.65 over 30 days, with three downward revisions and one upward revision. The share price also weakened, closing at C$42.41—below its 50-day average of C$48.21 and 200-day average of C$53.42. It is closer to its 52-week low of C$37.99 than its high of C$75.55. These figures show recent market performance, but they don’t explain the decline. Results below the higher consensus, or commentary that doesn’t support growth expectations, could keep investors focused on execution and estimates.
Analysis
Advertisement
Alamos will release results after the market closes on October 28 for the quarter ended September 30. The main question is whether EPS and revenue support the growth reflected in current forecasts. The trends feed estimates EPS of C$0.65, up 75.5% from C$0.37 a year ago, and revenue of US$526.72 million, up an estimated 13.9%. But just one analyst contributed to the revenue estimate, and the earnings calendar lists a different EPS estimate of C$0.45. Check the source and basis of each estimate when assessing the results.
The trends EPS consensus has slipped from C$0.68 over the past 30 days. There has been one upward revision and three downward revisions. The range of C$0.45 to C$0.98 also shows a wide spread among the six analysts behind the consensus. Visit the Alamos Gold stock page for company information and earnings context.
Analysis
Alamos beat EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters. For the quarter ended June 30, it reported C$0.59 against an estimate of C$0.53. For March 31, actual EPS matched the C$0.55 estimate. December EPS was C$0.54 versus C$0.50 expected, while September 2025 EPS was C$0.37 versus C$0.36. This record provides context for the upcoming report, but it doesn’t mean another beat is likely.
Alamos operates the Island Gold, Young-Davidson and Mulatos mines. Recent growth commentary has focused on processing high-grade underground ore from Island Gold at the larger Magino mill, which is expected to support higher throughput and lower processing costs. The quarterly results will help investors assess the company’s earnings trajectory. The estimates alone don’t show how much any specific project or operating factor contributed.
Analysis
AGI.TO closed at C$42.41, down 16.92% over one month, based on the supplied data. The close was below the 50-day moving average of C$48.21 and the 200-day average of C$53.42. The 52-week range was C$37.99 to C$75.55. These figures describe recent trading; they don’t explain the share-price decline or predict how the stock will react to earnings.
The average analyst price target is C$64.90, or 53.0% above the supplied closing price. The source labels the consensus rating bullish based on the average target compared with the last close. It also notes that a formal rating isn’t available for Canadian listings. See the analyst ratings section for more on the target.
Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model gives a mean forecast of C$43.18. Its 68% range is C$33.81 to C$55.14, and its 95% range is C$26.48 to C$70.41. This is a statistical model, not financial advice or a guarantee. See the price prediction section for details.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Gold ETFs
Best gold ETFs in Canada
If this story is about gold, compare CGL, VALT, KILO, and miner ETFs.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
