Amerigo Resources reports before the market opens on October 28. One analyst expects EPS of C$0.12 and revenue of US$74.5 million. Production figures offer some support for the outlook, but the company’s recent earnings results have been mixed.
Amerigo Resources Ltd. (TSX: ARG), also known as ARG.TO, is set to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The single-analyst estimate calls for EPS of C$0.12 and revenue of US$74.5 million, up 41.9% from a year earlier. With only one analyst contributing, these figures are a limited reference point, not a broad consensus.
Recent earnings trend
Advertisement
Amerigo Resources Ltd.
ARG.TO
ARG.TO
Amerigo Resources Ltd.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.13B
P/E
15.0x
Div. yield
1.62%
Div. / share
$0.11
52W high
$9.11
52W low
$2.36
1W change
-15.38%
Beta
2.12
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ARG · as of Oct 26, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ARG stock price to rise 39.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$9.81
+39.3% Upside
Previously C$9.81 on Oct 23, 2026
Current Price
C$7.04
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ARG's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
52.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
54.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-7.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$6.85
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.97 | C$5.81 – C$8.36 |
| 60 trading days | C$6.91 | C$5.34 – C$8.94 |
| 90 trading days | C$6.85 | C$5.00 – C$9.39 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | — | 0.1200 | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.0634 | 0.0500 | +26.8% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-07 | 0.0285 | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025-02-19 | 0.0140 | — | — |
| 2024-09-30 | 2024-10-30 | 0.0200 | 0.0300 | -33.3% |
| 2024-06-30 | 2024-07-31 | 0.0600 | 0.0500 | +20.0% |
Advertisement
For Canadian investors, the key question is whether copper production and costs translated into the expected earnings and revenue. Amerigo reported Q3 production of 17.0 million pounds at a cash cost of US$1.55 per pound. Its financial results will show how that performance affected the bottom line.
Investor takeaway: The October 28 earnings report will show whether Amerigo turned its Q3 copper output into EPS near C$0.12 and revenue around US$74.5 million. Year-to-date production had reached 76% of annual guidance. But the estimates come from one analyst, and Amerigo’s last four comparable quarters included two beats, one miss and one result in line. Treat the estimates as a rough guide, not a reliable prediction.
One analyst expects EPS of C$0.12
The single-analyst estimate for the September quarter is C$0.12 in EPS and US$74.5 million in revenue. The EPS estimate rose from C$0.00 to C$0.12 over the past 30 days, though no analysts revised their estimates during that period. In the last four comparable quarters, Amerigo beat estimates twice, missed once and matched once. That record provides context, but it doesn’t point to a consistent pattern of beats.
Bull case
Amerigo’s operating update gives investors a reason for optimism. The company reported Q3 copper production of 17.0 million pounds, bringing year-to-date output to 76% of annual guidance. Its Q2 results included US$18.3 million in net income, US$38.4 million in EBITDA and US$21.9 million in free cash flow. If Q3 results show a similar level of earnings and cash generation, Amerigo could meet its current EPS and revenue estimates. The company also reported a 78% water-recycling rate at its Chilean operation in 2025, useful context for a water-intensive mining business.
Bear case
Strong production doesn’t guarantee an EPS beat. Copper prices, costs and other financial items also affect results, and the available information doesn’t include Q3 financials or realized copper prices. The estimates are based on just one analyst, and recent results have been mixed: Amerigo beat estimates in two of its last four comparable quarters.
The shares closed at C$7.04, below their 50-day moving average of C$8.30, after falling 22.12% over the past month. That price movement is worth noting, but it doesn’t tell investors what the earnings report will show.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
