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Erdene Resource Development Corp (ERD) Earnings Preview — What to Watch Before the Report

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Erdene’s November 4 report follows a quarter of gold sales, debt repayment and plans to move into higher-grade mining zones. But investors won’t have a consensus EPS estimate to compare results against.

Erdene Resource Development Corp. (TSX: ERD) is scheduled to report results for the quarter ended September 30 after the market closes on November 4, 2026. Analyst coverage is limited, with no upcoming EPS consensus or historical record of results versus estimates. This preview focuses on operating trends and company updates, not whether Erdene beats or misses expectations. Follow ERD.TO on the ERD stock page.

Recent earnings trend

Erdene Resource Development Corp

ERD.TO

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ERD.TO

Erdene Resource Development Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $1.34 (-20.90%)
120 day period
$4.69$5.80$6.91May 12Aug 7Nov 2

Market cap

$341.90M

P/E

21.8x

52W high

$10.20

52W low

$4.54

1W change

-6.80%

Beta

1.62

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ERD · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ERD stock price to rise 186.0% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$14.50

+186.0% Upside

Current Price

C$5.07

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ERD's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$2.39C$3.42C$4.44C$5.47C$6.49C$7.52TodayJun 24Aug 28Nov 2Dec 15Jan 28Mar 12

30-Day Vol

45.5%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

51.2%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$4.24

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$4.78C$4.08 – C$5.59
60 trading daysC$4.50C$3.61 – C$5.62
90 trading daysC$4.24C$3.23 – C$5.56

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: Low — no EPS consensus estimates are available for this name. Focus on reported EPS trends below rather than beat/miss framing.

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-140.1457——
2026-03-312026-05-060.0706——
2025-12-312026-03-240.0516——
2025-09-302025-11-13-0.0452——
2025-06-302025-08-12-0.0113——
2025-03-312025-05-08-0.0056——
-0.04520.05020.1457 24-0624-0925-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Reported EPS (≥0) Reported EPS (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: Investors will be watching to see whether Bayan Khundii’s production and sales build on Q2 levels, how the move into higher-grade zones affects operations, and what the company reports on revenue, costs, margins and debt. Without a consensus EPS estimate, the financial results and management’s operating update will be more useful than an estimate comparison.

11,853 ounces sold in Q3

Erdene reported Q3 gold sales of 11,853 ounces in an October 19 update. In Q2, the company produced and sold 11,709 ounces and reported US$53 million in gross revenue. The November report should show how Q3 sales translated into revenue, costs and profit.

Bull case

Bayan Khundii sold 11,853 ounces of gold in Q3, according to Erdene’s October 19 update. The company expects mining to move into higher-grade zones in Q4 and reported repaying another US$20 million of debt. Erdene’s Zuun Mod preliminary economic assessment also describes a long-life molybdenum-copper project, giving the company a development opportunity beyond gold.

Bear case

The operating update doesn’t provide the full financial picture. Investors still need details on costs, margins, cash flow and the balance sheet. Erdene shares recently closed at C$5.07, below their 50-day average of C$6.17 and 200-day average of C$6.48. Limited analyst coverage also means fewer independent estimates to help assess the results.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: November 3, 2026
Last Updated: November 3, 2026

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