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Will Yangarra Resources Ltd (YGR) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

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Yangarra Resources (YGR.TO) is expected to report third-quarter results after the market closes on October 27. One analyst estimates earnings per share (EPS) of C$0.06 and revenue of C$31.50 million, up 29.1% from a year earlier. That estimate is based on a single analyst, so it offers only a limited view of expectations.

Yangarra has beaten EPS estimates in one of its last four reported quarters. In June, it reported EPS of C$0.11, above the C$0.05 estimate. The three quarters before that came in below expectations. You can find more coverage on the company’s stock page.

Recent earnings trend

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Yangarra Resources Ltd

YGR.TO

Full stock page →

YGR.TO

Yangarra Resources Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $0.33 (23.74%)
120 day period
$1.13$1.47$1.81May 1Jul 28Oct 22

Market cap

$185.85M

P/E

9.8x

52W high

$1.85

52W low

$0.90

1W change

+0.00%

Beta

0.49

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering YGR · as of Oct 23, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast YGR stock price to rise 14.8% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$1.98

+14.8% Upside

Previously C$1.93 on Oct 1, 2026

Current Price

C$1.72

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on YGR's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$1.10C$1.60C$2.11C$2.61C$3.12C$3.62TodayJun 15Aug 19Oct 22Dec 4Jan 17Mar 1

30-Day Vol

44.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

41.9%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$2.06

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$1.83C$1.56 – C$2.13
60 trading daysC$1.94C$1.56 – C$2.41
90 trading daysC$2.06C$1.57 – C$2.69

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-27—0.0600—
2026-06-302026-07-300.11000.0500+120.0%
2026-03-312026-04-300.04000.0600-33.3%
2025-12-312026-03-050.01000.0800-87.5%
2025-09-302025-10-280.02000.0500-60.0%
2025-06-302025-07-300.06000.0500+20.0%
0.00000.05500.1100 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The upcoming report will show whether Yangarra can build on its June-quarter earnings and deliver the expected revenue growth. The EPS estimate has slipped from C$0.07 to C$0.06 over the past 30 days, with one downward revision and none upward. Since the forecast comes from one analyst and recent results have been mixed, treat it as a reference point—not a dependable prediction of what Yangarra will earn.

C$0.06

That’s the current EPS estimate for the quarter ended September 30, based on one analyst. It’s three times the year-earlier EPS of C$0.02, but Yangarra has beaten estimates in only one of its last four reported quarters.

Bull case

Yangarra’s June-quarter result was a bright spot: EPS came in at C$0.11, compared with the C$0.05 estimate. The current forecast also points to EPS growth of 200% from C$0.02 a year earlier and revenue growth of 29.1%.

In its July results, the company reported production of 10,078 boe/d and described drilling and well start-ups in its Belly River and Cardium plays. Yangarra also issued a September operations update, though the available information doesn’t show how that activity affected third-quarter results. The shares last closed at C$1.72, above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, but below their 52-week high of C$1.85.

Bear case

Yangarra’s recent earnings record is a reason for caution. EPS missed estimates in March 2026 (C$0.04 versus C$0.06), December 2025 (C$0.01 versus C$0.08), and September 2025 (C$0.02 versus C$0.05).

The latest EPS estimate has also been revised down, and a forecast from one analyst says little about the range of possible results. The projected 200% EPS growth is measured against a low year-earlier figure, so that percentage alone doesn’t show whether earnings are improving consistently.

Analysis

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Yangarra is scheduled to report after the market closes on October 27 for the quarter ended September 30. The available estimates call for EPS of C$0.06 and revenue of C$31.50 million, with revenue expected to rise 29.1% year over year.

The EPS estimate has fallen from C$0.07 over the past 30 days. One analyst lowered the forecast, and none raised it. With only one analyst contributing, the estimate may not reflect the full range of expectations. The report will show whether revenue growth translated into earnings. Yangarra hasn’t provided a company forecast for the quarter in the information available here.

Analysis

Yangarra beat EPS estimates in one of its last four reported quarters. In June 2026, EPS was C$0.11 against an estimate of C$0.05. In March, EPS of C$0.04 missed the C$0.06 estimate. In December 2025, EPS of C$0.01 came in below C$0.08, and in September 2025, EPS of C$0.02 missed C$0.05.

The June result was a clear beat, but the four-quarter record doesn’t show a consistent pattern. The recent earnings trend table and chart provide the quarter-by-quarter figures.

Analysis

Yangarra reported second-quarter production of 10,078 boe/d in July and described drilling and well start-ups in its Belly River and Cardium plays. The company also issued a September operations update, but the available information doesn’t include figures that can be directly linked to third-quarter production or earnings.

The shares last closed at C$1.72, above their 50-day average of C$1.57 and 200-day average of C$1.34. The average analyst price target is C$1.98, or 14.8% above the last close. See the analyst ratings section.

Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day model gives a mean forecast of C$2.06, with a 68% range of C$1.57 to C$2.69. This is a model estimate, not financial advice. See the price prediction page.

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 26, 2026
Last Updated: October 26, 2026

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