As Tilray Inc prepares to report its next earnings, investors are keenly watching for signs of recovery in a challenging market.
Tilray Inc (TLRY.TO) is set to release its earnings report on October 8, 2026, before the market opens. Investors are particularly interested in how the company will perform against the backdrop of its recent financial history, which has shown a mix of surprises and disappointments. With an EPS consensus of -0.14 and a revenue forecast of $255.35 million, Tilray's upcoming report will be crucial in determining its trajectory in the competitive health care sector, particularly in pharmaceuticals.
Recent earnings trend
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Tilray Inc
TLRY.TO
TLRY.TO
Tilray Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$758.12M
52W high
$32.30
52W low
$5.04
1W change
-10.00%
Beta
1.92
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TLRY · as of Oct 5, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TLRY stock price to rise 33.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$6.85
+33.5% Upside
Previously C$7.74 on Oct 2, 2026
Current Price
C$5.13
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TLRY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
39.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
44.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$4.29
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$4.83 | C$4.22 – C$5.54 |
| 60 trading days | C$4.55 | C$3.76 – C$5.52 |
| 90 trading days | C$4.29 | C$3.39 – C$5.43 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-28 | 0.0500 | 0.2100 | -76.2% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-01 | 0.0200 | 0.0700 | -71.4% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-08 | -0.0200 | — | — |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-09 | -0.0004 | -0.0300 | +98.7% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-28 | 0.0200 | 0.0100 | +100.0% |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-08 | -0.8700 | -0.3300 | -163.6% |
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Investor takeaway: With a history of mixed earnings surprises and a current EPS consensus suggesting a loss, investors should approach Tilray's upcoming earnings report with caution, focusing on revenue growth and market positioning.
EPS Consensus at -0.14 with Revenue Growth Projected at 21.9%
Despite a challenging earnings history, Tilray's revenue consensus of $255.35 million reflects a robust anticipated growth of 21.9%, which could provide a buffer against negative EPS figures.
Bull case
Tilray's diverse portfolio across cannabis, beverages, and wellness sectors could help boost revenue growth. Recent reports show record revenues in prior quarters, and if the company can leverage its strengths, it might surprise analysts positively.
Bear case
However, the company has faced significant earnings misses in the past. With an EPS consensus indicating further losses, there's a risk that Tilray may not meet even the lowered expectations, which could negatively impact investor sentiment.
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