As MTY Food Group prepares to release its upcoming earnings report, investors are eager to see if the company can maintain its momentum in a challenging market.
MTY Food Group Inc (MTY.TO) is set to announce its next earnings report on October 9, 2026, before the market opens. The company has a history of fluctuating performance, with the latest estimates suggesting an EPS of $1.17 for the fiscal period ending August 31, 2026. This preview will explore what investors can expect from MTY's upcoming earnings, considering its recent performance and market conditions.
Recent earnings trend
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MTY Food Group Inc
MTY.TO
MTY.TO
MTY Food Group Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$709.00M
P/E
6.3x
Div. yield
4.51%
Div. / share
$1.40
52W high
$44.59
52W low
$30.63
1W change
-3.06%
Beta
1.01
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering MTY · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast MTY stock price to rise 32.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$41.17
+32.6% Upside
Current Price
C$31.04
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on MTY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
17.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
30.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$25.96
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$29.25 | C$27.52 – C$31.09 |
| 60 trading days | C$27.56 | C$25.28 – C$30.04 |
| 90 trading days | C$25.96 | C$23.36 – C$28.86 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-10-09 | — | 1.1700 | — |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-10 | 0.9700 | 1.1200 | -13.4% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-10 | 0.9800 | 0.8300 | +18.1% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-02-19 | 1.8800 | 0.8300 | +126.5% |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-10 | 1.1900 | 1.2300 | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-11 | 1.1700 | 1.2200 | -4.1% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious yet optimistic as MTY approaches its earnings report, with historical trends showing mixed performance. Understanding the factors at play will be crucial for making informed investment decisions.
Upcoming EPS Estimate: $1.17
The consensus for MTY's upcoming EPS reflects cautious optimism, with analysts projecting a modest increase from last year's EPS of $1.19, although revenue growth is expected to decline.
Bull case
MTY has shown resilience in the past, exceeding estimates in two of its last four earnings reports. The projected EPS growth of 4.2% compared to last year indicates potential for improvement, especially if the company can effectively leverage its recent acquisitions.
Bear case
However, MTY has also encountered challenges, with recent revenue estimates indicating a decline of 3.7%. Coupled with a recent drop in stock price and mixed earnings surprises, there’s a risk that the upcoming report may not meet investor expectations.
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