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Will Frontera Energy Corp (FEC) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Frontera Energy Corp is set to report earnings on August 12, 2026, and investors are eager to see if the company can continue its recent positive momentum.

As Frontera Energy Corp (FEC.TO) approaches its upcoming earnings report, scheduled for August 12, 2026, before market open, the company finds itself at a pivotal moment. With a history of mixed earnings surprises, the focus will be on whether Frontera can deliver another strong performance following its recent earnings trends.

Recent earnings trend

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Frontera Energy Corp

FEC.TO

Full stock page โ†’

FEC.TO

Frontera Energy Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†“ $1.97 (-19.50%)
120 day period
$8.10$12.39$16.67Feb 18May 14Aug 10

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Market cap

$566.48M

Div. yield

2.27%

Div. / share

$0.18

52W high

$10.73

52W low

$3.15

1W change

-9.06%

Beta

0.85

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering FEC

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast FEC stock price to rise 148.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$20.22

+148.7% Upside

Current Price

C$8.13

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV โ†’

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on FEC's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$4.50C$7.04C$9.57C$12.10C$14.64C$17.17TodayApr 1Jun 5Aug 10Sep 22Nov 5Dec 18

30-Day Vol

31.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

114.4%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$6.80

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$7.66C$6.86 โ€“ C$8.55
60 trading daysC$7.22C$6.18 โ€“ C$8.43
90 trading daysC$6.80C$5.62 โ€“ C$8.23

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-03-312026-05-15-0.3041โ€”โ€”
2025-12-312026-03-17-13.2046โ€”โ€”
2025-09-302025-11-130.4689โ€”โ€”
2025-06-302025-08-13-8.1502โ€”โ€”
2025-03-312025-05-060.4837โ€”โ€”
2024-12-312025-03-10-0.5034โ€”โ€”
-13.2046-6.36040.4837 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Reported EPS (โ‰ฅ0) Reported EPS (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Frontera's ability to maintain profitability and growth amid fluctuating market conditions will be closely watched. Investors should prepare for a potentially volatile reaction to the earnings announcement, especially given the company's recent performance and analyst expectations.

Upcoming EPS Consensus: $0.19

Frontera's EPS consensus reflects a significant turnaround from a year-ago loss of $0.41, suggesting improved operational efficiency and market conditions.

Bull case

Frontera Energy has shown it can exceed earnings estimates in two of the last four quarters, notably achieving a 164% surprise in Q2 2023. With an EPS consensus of $0.19 for the upcoming report, investors might feel optimistic about the company's potential for continued growth, especially considering a year-over-year EPS growth estimate of 146.3%.

Bear case

Despite its recent successes, Frontera's inconsistent earnings history raises concerns. The company reported a significant loss of $0.13 in Q1 2023 against expectations of profit, indicating volatility. Additionally, the energy sector's vulnerability to geopolitical risks and fluctuating oil prices could impact Frontera's performance.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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โœ… Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFAยฎ charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFPยฎ) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFAยฎ charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFPยฎ professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

๐Ÿ“Š Data AccuracyVerified sources
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian FocusLocal expertise
๐Ÿ” Fact-CheckedEditorial review

โš ๏ธ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 11, 2026
Last Updated: August 11, 2026

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