Cineplex reports before the market opens on November 6. Its earnings estimates point to a year-over-year improvement, but the company has missed estimates in each of its last four comparable quarters.
Cineplex Inc. (CGX.TO) will report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. One earnings calendar lists an estimate of C$0.47 per share. Earnings-trends data puts consensus at C$0.16, based on three analysts, with estimates ranging from C$0.05 to C$0.31. Because the figures differ, investors should treat the forecast as uncertain. The trends data also puts revenue consensus at C$374.45 million, up an estimated 7.3% from a year earlier. Here’s what Canadian investors following Cineplex shares will want to watch.
Recent earnings trend
Cineplex Inc.
CGX.TO
CGX.TO
Cineplex Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$864.40M
52W high
$13.74
52W low
$9.15
1W change
+6.11%
Beta
0.73
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CGX · as of Oct 29, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast CGX stock price to rise 2.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$14.04
+2.3% Upside
Previously C$13.88 on Oct 19, 2026
Current Price
C$13.72
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CGX's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
30.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
30.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+34.8%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$15.53
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$14.30 | C$12.90 – C$15.86 |
| 60 trading days | C$14.90 | C$12.88 – C$17.25 |
| 90 trading days | C$15.53 | C$12.99 – C$18.58 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-06 | — | 0.4700 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-11 | 0.1200 | 0.2000 | -40.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-11 | -0.3600 | -0.3000 | -20.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-11 | 0.0700 | 0.1800 | -61.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | -0.0500 | 0.2400 | -120.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-12 | -0.0400 | 0.0600 | -166.7% |
Investor takeaway: The outlook is mixed. The trends estimate points to an EPS recovery from a year-ago loss, and analysts expect revenue to grow. But the estimate has fallen over the past month, Cineplex has missed estimates in its last four comparable quarters, and trailing EPS remains negative. Revenue and profitability will matter as much as the headline EPS.
C$374.45 million
That’s the revenue consensus for the September quarter, based on five analysts. It implies estimated year-over-year growth of 7.3%. EPS consensus is C$0.16 from three analysts, down from C$0.19 a month ago. The separate earnings-calendar estimate of C$0.47 highlights how uncertain the forecasts are.
Bull case
Analysts expect revenue of C$374.45 million, up 7.3% from a year earlier. A recent industry report noted strong sales of concessions and movie-themed merchandise at theatre operators during a busy year for Hollywood. If Cineplex saw similar demand, revenue growth could help its earnings. The trends-data EPS estimate of C$0.16 is also an improvement on the C$0.05 loss a year ago.
Bear case
Cineplex has missed estimates in each of its last four comparable quarters. It reported EPS of C$0.12 versus C$0.20 expected in June, -C$0.36 versus -C$0.30 in March, C$0.07 versus C$0.18 in December, and -C$0.05 versus C$0.24 in September 2025.
The current trends consensus has also dropped from C$0.19 to C$0.16 over the past 30 days. Two analysts revised their estimates down, while one revised theirs up. Cineplex’s trailing EPS is -C$0.26, so an improvement from last year would not, on its own, show that the company has returned to sustained profitability.
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