With a strong history of earnings surprises, all eyes are on A&W Food Services as it prepares to report its next quarterly results.
Recent earnings trend
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A&W Food Services of Canada
AW.TO
AW.TO
A&W Food Services of Canada
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$865.77M
P/E
16.0x
Div. yield
5.35%
Div. / share
$1.92
52W high
$37.16
52W low
$33.48
1W change
+1.40%
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AW · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AW stock price to rise 10.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$40.00
+10.7% Upside
Current Price
C$36.12
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AW's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
16.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
14.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-2.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$35.78
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$36.01 | C$34.05 – C$38.08 |
| 60 trading days | C$35.89 | C$33.16 – C$38.85 |
| 90 trading days | C$35.78 | C$32.47 – C$39.42 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-16 | — | 0.6600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-23 | 0.6000 | 0.5400 | +11.1% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.4361 | 0.4141 | +5.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.6800 | 0.6300 | +7.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-17 | 0.6200 | 0.5800 | +6.9% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-24 | 0.6100 | 0.5800 | +5.2% |
A&W Food Services of Canada will release its earnings report for the fiscal period ending September 30, 2026, on October 16, 2026, before the market opens. Investors are eager to see if the company will keep up its impressive track record of exceeding earnings estimates, which has become a key feature of its recent performance.
Investor takeaway: Given A&W's consistent ability to beat earnings estimates over the past four quarters, the upcoming report could bring a positive surprise, especially with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.66. However, recent revisions have slightly lowered expectations, so it’s worth paying close attention.
EPS Estimate: $0.66 for Q3 2026
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A&W's EPS estimate reflects a year-over-year growth of 1.0%, showing the company's efforts to maintain profitability amid market fluctuations.
Bull case
A&W has a solid earnings history, having beaten estimates for four consecutive quarters. The company is also projecting revenue growth, which suggests strong operational performance that could boost investor confidence.
Bear case
Analysts have recently cut their EPS expectations from $0.75 to $0.63, indicating potential challenges ahead. If A&W fails to meet even these lowered expectations, it could trigger negative reactions in the market.
Earnings Report Timing
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What the Report Will Test
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Context and Market Sentiment
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Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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