Algoma Central has beaten EPS estimates in each of its past four reported quarters. Its next test comes on November 11, when it reports results against a consensus forecast of C$1.97 per share. That estimate has recently fallen.
Algoma Central Corporation (TSX: ALC) is scheduled to report results before the market opens on November 11, 2026, for the quarter ended September 30. One analyst contributes to the current consensus, which calls for EPS of C$1.97 and revenue of C$761.9 million. The EPS estimate has dropped from C$2.21 over the past 30 days.
Recent earnings trend
Algoma Central Corporation
ALC.TO
ALC.TO
Algoma Central Corporation
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.27B
P/E
5.9x
Div. yield
2.62%
Div. / share
$0.82
52W high
$33.00
52W low
$16.77
1W change
-4.20%
Beta
0.40
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ALC · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ALC stock price to fall 35.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$19.00
-35.0% Upside
Current Price
C$29.22
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ALC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
51.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
36.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$34.93
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$31.01 | C$25.97 – C$37.03 |
| 60 trading days | C$32.91 | C$25.61 – C$42.30 |
| 90 trading days | C$34.93 | C$25.69 – C$47.50 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-04 | — | 0.8500 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-11 | — | 0.9900 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-07 | 0.8772 | 0.8100 | +8.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.0548 | -0.6700 | +108.2% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 2.3167 | 0.7900 | +193.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.9721 | 0.9200 | +5.7% |
Algoma beat estimates in each of its last four comparable quarters. For the quarter ended June 30, it reported EPS of C$0.8772, compared with an estimate of C$0.81. That record makes the upcoming results worth watching, but it doesn’t guarantee another beat. For company background and current stock data, visit the Algoma Central stock page.
Investor takeaway: The November report will show whether Algoma can maintain earnings growth against a higher year-ago comparison and meet a recently lowered consensus. The forecast points to EPS growth of 4.8% and revenue growth of 3.5% year over year, but it is based on just one analyst’s estimate.
Investors should also separate ongoing operating results from gains on asset sales. Supplemental coverage of the year-ago quarter cites an $8.9-million gain from selling vessels, an item that may not recur. Algoma’s four-quarter streak of beating estimates is useful context, not a promise. Canadian investors can follow the company’s results and valuation information on the ALC stock page.
C$1.97
That’s the one-analyst consensus EPS estimate for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. It’s down from C$2.21 a month ago and implies 4.8% growth from year-ago EPS of C$1.88.
Bull case
Algoma goes into the report after beating EPS estimates in each of its past four reported quarters. In the June quarter, it posted EPS of C$0.8772, above the C$0.81 estimate. The current consensus also expects EPS and revenue to grow year over year.
Algoma’s reported fundamentals include a 20.67% profit margin and a 2.62% dividend yield. Its last close of C$29.22 was above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. These figures provide context, but the earnings report will show whether operating results support the growth expectations.
Bear case
The EPS consensus has fallen from C$2.21 to C$1.97 in the past month. There has been one downward revision and no upward revisions. With only one analyst contributing, the estimate offers limited coverage and could change significantly.
The year-ago comparison also needs context. Supplemental coverage says the quarter ended September 2025 included an $8.9-million gain from selling two vessels. That gain could make year-over-year results harder to compare.
The average analyst target is C$19, well below the last close of C$29.22. A target is an analyst estimate, not a prediction of where the stock must go. See the analyst ratings section for more context.
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