Tesla's stock is feeling the pressure as investors brace for disappointing delivery numbers and face delays in product launches.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) experienced a notable drop in its stock price, closing down 1.43% at CA$352.33. This decline comes as the company prepares to release its third-quarter delivery numbers, which are anticipated to fall short of expectations.
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Tesla Inc
TSLA.US
TSLA.US
Tesla Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.41T
P/E
343.7x
52W high
$498.83
52W low
$297.38
1W change
-4.76%
Beta
1.84
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 47 analysts covering TSLA · as of Sep 29, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise 10.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Hold3.38 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$395.83
+10.7% Upside
Previously C$396.62 on Sep 25, 2026
Current Price
C$357.45
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (47 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TSLA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
44.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
55.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-40.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$309.53
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$340.70 | C$291.82 – C$397.78 |
| 60 trading days | C$324.74 | C$260.86 – C$404.27 |
| 90 trading days | C$309.53 | C$236.70 – C$404.78 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: Investors are cautious as Tesla faces challenges with its upcoming delivery report and delays in product launches, which may indicate broader issues within the company.
Tesla's Q3 Deliveries Expected to Fall to 463,000 Units
This represents a 6.8% decrease compared to the same quarter last year, raising concerns about demand and market conditions.
Bull case
Tesla has been resilient in gaining market share in the U.S. electric vehicle (EV) market. Its Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions have seen significant growth, which could help boost future sales.
Bear case
With expected Q3 deliveries likely to disappoint and the delay of the highly anticipated Roadster reveal, investor confidence may wane, leading to further stock price declines.
Disappointing Delivery Expectations
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Tesla is set to report its Q3 delivery numbers later this week, with analysts forecasting a total of 463,000 units. This marks a significant drop from the 497,000 vehicles delivered in the same quarter last year. The decline is attributed to a softening demand in key markets, particularly in the U.S. and China, where competition is intensifying.
Roadster Reveal Delayed Again
Adding to the company's woes, Tesla has announced a delay in the reveal of its much-anticipated Roadster, pushing the event from October 1st to October 15th. This postponement has frustrated many fans and potential buyers, raising questions about Tesla's ability to meet product timelines and manage investor expectations.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook
The market's reaction to Tesla's recent announcements has been cautious, with the stock slipping further as investors digest the implications of the expected delivery shortfall and product delays. Analysts are closely monitoring how these developments will impact Tesla's market position and investor sentiment in the coming weeks.
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