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Why Fastenal stock is tanking today

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:FAST.US

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Fastenal's stock took a hit as investors remain cautious ahead of its upcoming earnings report.

Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) experienced a decline of 1.32% in its stock price today, closing at CA$50.81. The drop comes as the company prepares to announce its third-quarter earnings tomorrow, raising concerns among investors about potential performance amidst a challenging economic backdrop.

Investor takeaway: Investors are advised to closely monitor Fastenal's upcoming earnings report, as any signs of weakness could further impact the stock's performance in the near term.

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Fastenal Company

FAST.US

Full stock page →

FAST.US

Fastenal Company

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $7.16 (16.15%)
120 day period
$43.02$47.70$52.38Apr 22Jul 20Oct 12

Market cap

$59.08B

P/E

44.0x

Div. yield

1.81%

Div. / share

$0.92

52W high

$52.92

52W low

$38.34

1W change

+1.58%

Beta

0.69

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 18 analysts covering FAST · as of Oct 5, 2026

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to fall 5.1% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Hold

3.28 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$48.84

-5.1% Upside

Current Price

C$51.49

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (18 analysts)

Strong Buy 6
Hold 7
Sell 3
Strong Sell 2
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on FAST's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$43.18C$50.15C$57.12C$64.09C$71.05C$78.02TodayJun 4Aug 10Oct 12Nov 24Jan 7Feb 19

30-Day Vol

17.4%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

21.7%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$61.56

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$54.65C$51.47 – C$58.02
60 trading daysC$58.00C$53.29 – C$63.13
90 trading daysC$61.56C$55.49 – C$68.29

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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1.32% Decline Today

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Fastenal's stock has fallen today, reflecting investor caution ahead of its earnings announcement.

Bull case

Fastenal has consistently grown its revenue, reporting a 14.7% increase year-over-year last quarter. This growth is driven by strong demand in key sectors and effective digital strategies.

Bear case

Despite its past performance, Fastenal has missed revenue estimates several times over the last two years. Current macroeconomic uncertainties could pose risks to its upcoming earnings.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
🔍 Fact-CheckedEditorial review

⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 13, 2026
Last Updated: October 13, 2026

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