Tilray Inc's recent earnings report reveals a notable surprise, showcasing resilience in a challenging market.
On October 8, 2026, Tilray Inc (TLRY.TO) released its Q1 Fiscal 2027 financial results, reporting an EPS of -$0.02, significantly outperforming the estimated EPS of -$0.14 by 85.71%. This unexpected performance comes amid fluctuating market conditions and evolving dynamics in the health care and pharmaceutical industries.
Recent earnings trend
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Tilray Inc
TLRY.TO
TLRY.TO
Tilray Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$753.69M
52W high
$25.90
52W low
$4.81
1W change
+0.39%
Beta
1.92
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TLRY · as of Oct 9, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TLRY stock price to rise 34.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$6.83
+34.0% Upside
Previously C$6.86 on Oct 8, 2026
Current Price
C$5.10
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TLRY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
38.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
44.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$4.27
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$4.81 | C$4.21 – C$5.48 |
| 60 trading days | C$4.53 | C$3.76 – C$5.46 |
| 90 trading days | C$4.27 | C$3.39 – C$5.36 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-10-08 | -0.0200 | -0.1400 | +85.7% |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-28 | 0.0500 | 0.2100 | -76.2% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-01 | 0.0200 | 0.0700 | -71.4% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-08 | -0.0200 | — | — |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-09 | -0.0004 | -0.0300 | +98.7% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-28 | 0.0200 | 0.0100 | +100.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Tilray's ability to surpass earnings expectations may signal a turning point for the company, particularly as it continues to expand in the cannabis, beverage, and pharmaceutical sectors. Investors should keep an eye on the company's revenue growth and profitability trends as they navigate this changing landscape.
Tilray Inc's EPS Surprises by 85.71% in Q1 Fiscal 2027
The company reported an EPS of -$0.02, a stark contrast to the estimated -$0.14, reflecting a significant improvement in financial performance compared to prior quarters.
Bull case
Tilray's strong earnings surprise suggests effective cost management and operational efficiencies, positioning the company for future growth. With a revenue consensus of $255.35 million, Tilray is expected to see a 21.9% year-over-year growth, which could boost investor confidence.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings surprise, Tilray's recent performance has been volatile, with a market cap of about $753 million and a profit margin of -13.26%. The company's ongoing struggle with profitability and market sentiment could pose risks for investors in the short term.
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