
A headline on October 16 linked the Tesla-SpaceX merger timeline to the Roadster debut. But the supplied facts don’t confirm a merger, provide deal terms or give a timeline. Tesla shares closed at US$361.09, down 1.29% for the day.
Investor takeaway: The headline raises questions about merger timing, but it doesn’t establish that a deal exists or provide its terms or schedule.
Tesla closed at US$361.09
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Tesla Inc
TSLA.US
TSLA.US
Tesla Inc
Market cap
$1.45T
P/E
346.4x
52W high
$498.83
52W low
$297.38
1W change
-3.35%
Beta
1.92
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 44 analysts covering TSLA · as of Oct 14, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise 9.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy3.64 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$397.83
+9.8% Upside
Previously C$396.57 on Oct 12, 2026
Current Price
C$362.44
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (44 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TSLA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
37.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
51.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-13.2%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$345.75
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$356.79 | C$313.56 – C$405.98 |
| 60 trading days | C$351.23 | C$292.59 – C$421.62 |
| 90 trading days | C$345.75 | C$276.44 – C$432.44 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Shares fell 1.29% on the day. Trading volume was 27,211,524 shares, or 0.77 times the 20-day average.
Bull case
The headline connects the Roadster debut with renewed attention on a possible Tesla-SpaceX merger timeline.
Bear case
The supplied facts include no merger agreement, transaction details or timeline. The headline alone doesn’t show that a deal is moving forward.
What happened: Roadster debut puts merger timing in focus
The October 16 end-of-day headline says the Roadster debut brought the Tesla-SpaceX merger timeline into sharper focus. That’s all the supplied information says about the event. It doesn’t confirm a merger agreement, identify anyone involved in discussions or provide terms or timing. Other headlines in the feed mention Tesla and SpaceX, but they don’t add verified details about this news. For Canadian retail investors following Tesla shares, the distinction matters: attention on a possible timeline isn’t confirmation of a transaction.
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What the numbers show: shares closed at US$361.09
Tesla closed at US$361.09, down 1.29% for the day and 3.35% over the week. Shares gained 1.64% over the month and fell 17.26% year to date. Trading volume was 27,211,524 shares, below the 20-day average of 34,551,016, or 0.77 times that average. The close was 0.9% above the 50-day moving average of US$357.94 and 7.2% below the 200-day average of US$388.98. These figures describe the trading data provided; they don’t show that the headline caused the share-price move. Tesla’s market capitalization was about US$1.45 trillion, and its reported P/E was 346.4. See more company data on the Tesla stock page.
What to watch next: confirmation and specifics
Watch for confirmation of a merger proposal and details about its status, terms or timing. The supplied facts don’t mention a filing, announcement or next milestone, so there’s no scheduled event to report. The headline refers to the Roadster debut, but provides no details about the debut or the car’s specifications. Until more information is available, this remains a headline about increased attention on a possible timeline, not a disclosed transaction.
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