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State Street (STT) vs BNY (BNY) and Northern Trust (NTRS): Which Custodian Bank is a Better Buy?

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Stocks & ETFs:NTRS.US

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A recent comparison of custodian banks highlights Northern Trust's performance metrics.

The analysis titled 'State Street (STT) vs BNY (BNY) and Northern Trust (NTRS): Which Custodian Bank is a Better Buy?' evaluates Northern Trust's position among its competitors in the custodian banking sector. As of the latest trading session, Northern Trust's stock closed at US$162.52, reflecting a 1.02% decline for the day and a 1.17% decline over the past week. Over the past month, the stock has decreased by 11.48%, although it remains up 22.06% year-to-date.

Investor takeaway: Northern Trust's financial performance metrics are noteworthy amid its recent stock price fluctuations.

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Northern Trust Corporation

NTRS.US

Full stock page →

NTRS.US

Northern Trust Corporation

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $3.63 (2.21%)
120 day period
$158.54$174.56$190.57Apr 23Jul 21Oct 13

Market cap

$30.96B

P/E

14.5x

Div. yield

1.90%

Div. / share

$3.20

52W high

$194.86

52W low

$118.61

1W change

-1.17%

Beta

1.25

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 16 analysts covering NTRS · as of Oct 14, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast NTRS stock price to rise 8.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Hold

3.06 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$181.71

+8.5% Upside

Previously C$182.07 on Oct 12, 2026

Current Price

C$167.48

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (16 analysts)

Strong Buy 2
Hold 12
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on NTRS's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$112.17C$129.00C$145.82C$162.64C$179.47C$196.29TodayJun 5Aug 11Oct 13Nov 25Jan 8Feb 20

30-Day Vol

20.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

21.6%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-34.7%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$147.94

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$160.69C$149.67 – C$172.54
60 trading daysC$154.18C$139.44 – C$170.49
90 trading daysC$147.94C$130.80 – C$167.33

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Northern Trust's stock closed at US$162.52, down 1.02% on the day.

The stock is currently trading at 58% of its 52-week range of US$118.61 to US$194.86, which may raise concerns for some investors.

Bull case

Northern Trust has a strong profit margin of 24.7% and a return on equity (ROE) of 17.1%. These figures suggest that the company is well-managed and capable of generating solid profits from its equity investments.

Bear case

However, Northern Trust's stock is currently trading below both its 50-day moving average of US$180.96 and its 200-day moving average of US$163.70. This trend indicates potential challenges in maintaining its stock price.

What the Analysis Reveals

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The analysis compares Northern Trust with State Street and BNY, focusing on financial metrics such as profit margins, return on equity, and stock performance. Northern Trust stands out with its profit margin of 24.7% and return on equity of 17.1%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.54, suggesting it may be fairly valued based on its earnings. Investors may find these metrics useful in their decision-making process.

Current Stock Performance and Metrics

As of the latest trading session, Northern Trust's stock closed at US$162.52, reflecting a 1.02% decrease. The stock has seen a 1-month decline of 11.48% and is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of US$180.96, which is a 10.2% decrease from its current price. Additionally, the stock is trading near its 200-day moving average of US$163.70, only 0.7% above it. The latest trading volume was 582,605 shares, lower than the 20-day average volume of 1,084,801 shares, indicating reduced trading activity.

What to Watch Next

Investors should monitor Northern Trust's upcoming financial updates, especially given recent changes in leadership and strategic direction. The average analyst target for Northern Trust is US$181.71, implying an upside potential of 11.8% from the current price. Observing how the stock reacts to market conditions and any shifts in the custodian banking sector will be essential for understanding its future trajectory.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
🔍 Fact-CheckedEditorial review

⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 14, 2026
Last Updated: October 14, 2026

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