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Richelieu Hardware Ltd. RCH Earnings Beat Estimates by 12.8%

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Richelieu Hardware Ltd. (RCH.TO) has reported a strong performance in its latest earnings, surpassing estimates and showcasing growth in a competitive sector.

On October 7, 2026, Richelieu Hardware Ltd. announced its earnings for the fiscal period ending August 31, 2026. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, exceeding analyst expectations of $0.47 by 12.77%. This marks a significant achievement in a landscape where market conditions remain challenging for consumer discretionary sectors.

Recent earnings trend

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Richelieu Hardware Ltd.

RCH.TO

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RCH.TO

Richelieu Hardware Ltd.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $5.31 (-13.29%)
120 day period
$34.24$37.73$41.22Apr 17Jul 14Oct 7

Market cap

$1.98B

P/E

22.2x

Div. yield

1.74%

Div. / share

$0.62

52W high

$44.65

52W low

$33.76

1W change

-4.12%

Beta

0.85

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering RCH · as of Sep 21, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast RCH stock price to rise 11.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$38.75

+11.7% Upside

Previously C$38.50 on Sep 17, 2026

Current Price

C$34.68

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on RCH's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$26.17C$29.56C$32.95C$36.34C$39.73C$43.12TodayJun 1Aug 5Oct 7Nov 19Jan 2Feb 14

30-Day Vol

18.4%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

24.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-8.8%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$33.61

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$34.32C$32.21 – C$36.57
60 trading daysC$33.96C$31.05 – C$37.15
90 trading daysC$33.61C$30.11 – C$37.51

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-08-312026-10-070.53000.4700+12.8%
2026-05-312026-07-090.42000.4700-10.6%
2026-02-282026-04-090.26000.3000-13.3%
2025-11-302026-01-150.46000.4600+0.0%
2025-08-312025-10-090.43000.4100+4.9%
2025-05-312025-07-100.41000.4200-2.4%
0.00000.26500.5300 24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-08 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: The reported EPS reflects Richelieu's ability to navigate the market effectively, bolstered by strategic acquisitions and internal growth. Investors should monitor the company's ongoing expansion efforts and market positioning as it continues to adapt to changing consumer demands.

12.8% Earnings Surprise

Richelieu's EPS of $0.53 not only beats estimates but also reflects an 18.5% increase compared to the previous year's EPS of $0.43, demonstrating robust year-over-year growth.

Bull case

Richelieu's recent acquisition of The Penrod Company and the expansion of its Drummondville distribution center show its commitment to growth and market penetration. These moves could lead to increased sales and profitability in the coming quarters.

Bear case

Despite the strong earnings report, Richelieu faces challenges like fluctuating market conditions and competition in the household durables industry, which may impact future performance. Additionally, the company's recent stock price decline raises concerns about its valuation.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 8, 2026
Last Updated: October 8, 2026

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