First Solar's stock may be undervalued ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
First Solar Inc (FSLR) is under the spotlight as analysts suggest the stock could be 34% below its fair value before the earnings release. The company's stock closed at US$177.55, reflecting a 2.07% increase for the day. However, it has seen a significant decline of 34.46% year-to-date, with a 1-month drop of 12.06%.
Investor takeaway: Investors should keep an eye on First Solar's upcoming earnings report for insights into its financial health.
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First Solar Inc
FSLR.US
FSLR.US
First Solar Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$18.93B
P/E
10.9x
52W high
$320.95
52W low
$168.60
1W change
+1.62%
Beta
1.79
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 36 analysts covering FSLR · as of Oct 5, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FSLR stock price to rise 53.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy4.14 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$275.87
+53.4% Upside
Current Price
C$179.80
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (36 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FSLR's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
52.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
54.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$150.40
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$169.41 | C$141.53 – C$202.79 |
| 60 trading days | C$159.62 | C$123.78 – C$205.84 |
| 90 trading days | C$150.40 | C$110.14 – C$205.36 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Last Close at US$177.55 with 701,756 Shares Traded
The trading volume was 0.71 times the 20-day average, indicating lower investor activity compared to recent weeks.
Bull case
Analysts have set an average target price of US$275.87, suggesting a potential upside of 55.4% from the last close. This indicates that many believe the stock has room to grow, especially if the company can demonstrate strong performance in its upcoming earnings report.
Bear case
Despite the recent increase, the stock has underperformed with a 12.06% decline over the last month, raising concerns about its near-term prospects. Investors are cautious as they await more information on the company's financial situation and operational challenges.
Analysts Suggest Significant Undervaluation
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Recent assessments indicate that First Solar Inc (FSLR) might be trading at 34% below its fair value as it approaches its earnings announcement. The stock's last close was US$177.55, which is significantly lower than its 50-day moving average of US$207.51 and its 200-day moving average of US$224.23. This suggests that the market may not fully reflect the company's potential, especially given its strong fundamentals, including a profit margin of 32.5% and a return on equity (ROE) of 18.5%.
Current Stock Performance and Trading Volume
The stock closed at US$177.55, reflecting a 2.07% increase on the day. However, despite this gain, it has experienced a substantial decline of 34.46% year-to-date and a 12.06% drop over the past month. The latest trading volume was 701,756 shares, notably lower at 0.71 times the 20-day average volume of 2,502,811 shares. The stock is currently trading within its 52-week range of US$168.60 to US$320.95, indicating significant volatility over the past year.
What Investors Should Watch Next
As First Solar prepares for its earnings report, investors will be looking for insights into the company's financial performance and any updates on its operational challenges. The current average analyst target of US$275.87 suggests a potential for recovery, representing a 55.4% upside from the last close. Additionally, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.8607, the stock could be considered undervalued relative to its earnings potential, making the upcoming earnings report a critical event for market participants.
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