Avalon Advanced Materials reported a loss of C$1.42 per share for the quarter ended August 31. That was much larger than the C$0.42 loss expected by the one analyst covering the company.
Avalon Advanced Materials Ltd. (TSX: AVL) reported fiscal-quarter EPS of -C$1.42 after markets closed on October 26, 2026, compared with an estimate of -C$0.42. The loss was 238.1% larger than expected. The calendar data lists a revenue estimate of C$49,020 from one analyst, but no reported revenue figure, so a comparison isn’t available. For Canadian investors, this estimate is a limited benchmark for a development-stage materials company. See the Avalon stock page for more information about AVL.TO.
Recent earnings trend
Avalon Advanced Materials Ltd
AVL.TO
AVL.TO
Avalon Advanced Materials Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$26.48M
52W high
$16.20
52W low
$4.52
1W change
+6.15%
Beta
0.92
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AVL · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AVL stock price to fall 74.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$1.45
-74.6% Upside
Current Price
C$5.70
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AVL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
62.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
157.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$6.81
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.05 | C$4.87 – C$7.51 |
| 60 trading days | C$6.42 | C$4.73 – C$8.71 |
| 90 trading days | C$6.81 | C$4.69 – C$9.91 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-30 | 2027-01-14 | — | -0.7100 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-10-26 | -1.4200 | -0.4200 | -238.1% |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-10 | -0.8900 | — | — |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-09 | -0.0194 | — | — |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-11-30 | -0.4926 | — | — |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-11-27 | -0.0016 | — | — |
Investor takeaway: Avalon’s reported loss was much larger than expected, but the estimate came from just one analyst. Project updates offer context, but they don’t confirm project economics, financing, or commercial production. Resource estimates and funding applications are not the same as reserves, awarded funding, or completed development milestones.
C$1.42 loss per share
Avalon’s loss was C$1.00 per share larger than the C$0.42 estimate. Since only one analyst contributed to the consensus, consider the result alongside the limited coverage.
Bull case
Avalon’s Nechalacho project has a sizeable reported mineral resource, and the company is working on engineering and processing demonstrations. A full proposal for about C$20 million in federal support and a preliminary economic assessment could help clarify the project’s path forward. But these are still prospective steps: a resource is not a reserve, and a funding proposal is not an award.
Bear case
Avalon’s C$1.42 per-share loss was much larger than the C$0.42 estimate. The company remains loss-making, with trailing EPS of -C$6.44 and a reported profit margin of 0.00%. The stock closed at C$5.70, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The average analyst target of C$1.45 is well below the closing price, but coverage is limited and analyst targets don’t guarantee future performance.
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