Allied Gold reported calendar EPS of C$0.37 for the quarter ended September 30, beating the C$0.20 estimate. That makes three earnings beats in the past four reported quarters. Still, the company remains unprofitable on a trailing-12-month basis.
Allied Gold Corporation (TSX: AAUC) reported results after market close on November 4, 2026, for the fiscal quarter ended September 30. Calendar EPS was C$0.37, 85% above the C$0.20 estimate. The company beat estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters.
Recent earnings trend
Allied Gold Corporation
AAUC.TO
AAUC.TO
Allied Gold Corporation
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$4.57B
52W high
$43.77
52W low
$21.94
1W change
+23.82%
Beta
0.85
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AAUC · as of Nov 9, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AAUC stock price to rise 40.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$45.60
+40.1% Upside
Previously C$44.35 on Nov 6, 2026
Current Price
C$32.54
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AAUC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
55.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
61.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+14.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$34.25
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$33.10 | C$27.37 – C$40.03 |
| 60 trading days | C$33.67 | C$25.73 – C$44.06 |
| 90 trading days | C$34.25 | C$24.63 – C$47.61 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-30 | — | 0.6400 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | 0.3700 | 0.2000 | +85.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.4400 | 0.3500 | +25.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | 0.3900 | 0.3200 | +21.9% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-31 | 0.5600 | 0.6100 | -8.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.2900 | 0.3700 | -21.6% |
The company did not provide quarterly revenue or margin results, so the EPS surprise alone doesn’t show how production, costs, or profitability changed. For Canadian investors, it’s one data point in a growth-focused gold-mining story that includes operations in Africa and the Sadiola project in Mali.
Investor takeaway: The EPS beat is notable, but Allied Gold’s trailing-12-month EPS is still -C$1.36, and its profit margin is -1.01%. The next-quarter EPS consensus is C$0.62, based on just two analysts. That’s down from C$1.49 30 days ago, so the forecast remains uncertain. You can review the AAUC stock page, but consider the earnings result alongside the company’s broader operating and financial picture.
C$0.37 EPS, versus C$0.20 expected
That’s an 85% positive surprise. Allied Gold has now beaten estimates in three of its last four reported quarters, but trailing-12-month EPS remains -C$1.36. The recent earnings trend table shows the quarter-by-quarter results.
Bull case
Allied Gold has beaten EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters. Its three most recent surprises were consecutive, at 21.9%, 25.7%, and 85.0%.
The company’s growth plan depends on production, with Sadiola and the Kurmuk project playing central roles. Company news also points to a minority investment that brought cash to just under US$0.5 billion, along with power arrangements intended to support project economics. If the company delivers on its plans and improves operating efficiency, it may be able to move its growth projects forward.
Bear case
An EPS beat doesn’t mean the company is consistently profitable. Allied Gold’s supplied trailing-12-month figures remain negative, and no quarterly revenue or margin data were provided. That makes it hard to judge the quality or staying power of this result.
The next-quarter consensus comes from only two analysts and has dropped from C$1.49 to C$0.62 in the past month. Allied Gold’s operations in Africa and the demands of delivering its projects also carry risks that one earnings surprise can’t resolve.
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