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Why Workday stock plummeted yesterday

By Wealth Awesome -

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Workday Inc. faced significant selling pressure as investors reacted to cautious guidance despite a strong quarterly performance.

Workday Inc. (NASDAQ:WDAY) saw its stock price fall by 5.38% yesterday, closing at CA$195.79. This decline came despite the company reporting solid fiscal second-quarter results that beat analyst expectations.

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Workday Inc

WDAY.US

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WDAY.US

Workday Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$65.93 (54.12%)
63 day period
$113.04$159.98$206.92Jun 17Aug 3Sep 16

Market cap

$45.25B

P/E

38.2x

52W high

$249.85

52W low

$110.36

1W change

+0.92%

Beta

1.08

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 41 analysts covering WDAY · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast WDAY stock price to rise 11.1% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Buy

4.05 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$208.68

+11.1% Upside

Current Price

C$187.76

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (41 analysts)

Strong Buy 18
Buy 7
Hold 16
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on WDAY's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$98.25C$181.08C$263.90C$346.73C$429.56C$512.38TodayJun 17Aug 3Sep 16Oct 29Dec 12Jan 24

30-Day Vol

66.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

66.5%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$224.47

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$199.28C$158.38C$250.74
60 trading daysC$211.50C$152.83C$292.68
90 trading daysC$224.47C$150.78C$334.16

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Investor takeaway: Investors should remain cautious as Workday's guidance suggests a slowdown in subscription revenue growth, which could impact future performance.

5.38% decline in stock price yesterday

Workday's stock has underperformed, reflecting investor skepticism despite recent revenue growth.

Bull case

Workday's revenue grew by 13% year over year, and the significant adoption of AI among clients shows strong demand for its solutions. This positions the company well for future growth.

Bear case

However, the company's guidance for fiscal 2028 subscription revenue growth at only 11% raises concerns about a slowdown. This suggests that the current momentum may not be sustainable.

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Strong Quarterly Results Overshadowed

Workday reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of $2.65 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.64 billion. The company's subscription revenue rose by 13.9% to $2.471 billion, with AI products contributing significantly to new annual contract value. However, the market reacted negatively to the company's guidance, which indicated a slowdown in subscription revenue growth.

Investor Concerns About Future Growth

Despite the strong quarterly performance, Workday's guidance for fiscal 2028 subscription revenue growth at approximately 11% raised eyebrows among investors. This forecast suggests a deceleration in growth, which could impact the company's ability to maintain its current momentum. The acknowledgment by management that AI adoption is more substitutive than incremental further fueled concerns about the sustainability of future revenue streams.


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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 7, 2026
Last Updated: September 7, 2026
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