
Ero Copper Corp (ERO.TO) has seen notable gains this week due to steady operational performance and growing investor interest.
Ero Copper's stock closed at C$42.71, marking an 8.45% increase in just one day and a 12.86% rise over the past week. This surge follows the company's recent operational updates and positive drilling results, strengthening its position in the materials sector.
Investor takeaway: The recent price movement shows increasing confidence among investors in Ero Copper's operational capabilities and future prospects, especially after strong production figures and ongoing exploration success.
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Ero Copper Corp
ERO.TO
ERO.TO
Ero Copper Corp
Market cap
$4.26B
P/E
10.4x
52W high
$53.69
52W low
$18.53
1W change
+12.86%
Beta
1.59
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ERO
Wall Street analysts forecast ERO stock price to rise 21.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$49.44
+21.1% Upside
Current Price
C$40.82
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ERO's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
62.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
66.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+41.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$47.26
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$42.86 | C$34.51 – C$53.25 |
| 60 trading days | C$45.01 | C$33.12 – C$61.17 |
| 90 trading days | C$47.26 | C$32.46 – C$68.81 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Ero Copper Corp Reports C$108.8 Million Net Income in Q1 2026
The company achieved a profit margin of 31.6%, reflecting efficient operations and solid demand for copper and gold.
Bull case
Ero Copper's recent operational results indicate strong production levels, with Q1 2026 copper production reaching 17,287 tonnes. The company’s focus on expanding mineralization at the Furnas project could unlock additional value for shareholders.
Bear case
Despite the positive outlook, Ero Copper operates in a volatile market. Fluctuations in copper prices or operational challenges could impact profitability. Investors should remain cautious of external factors that might affect performance.
Recent Performance
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Ero Copper's stock has shown robust performance, closing at C$42.71, which represents an 8.45% increase in one day and a 12.86% rise over the past week. Year-to-date, the stock has appreciated by 2.33%. The trading volume reached 591,064 shares, compared to a 20-day average of 348,322 shares, indicating heightened investor interest.
Company Updates and Catalysts
This week's price action is supported by the company's recent operational updates, including Q1 2026 results. Ero Copper reported copper production of 17,287 tonnes and gold production of 5,495 ounces, resulting in a net income of $108.8 million. Additionally, positive drilling results at the Furnas project, confirming high-grade continuity and extending known mineralization, have contributed to investor enthusiasm.
Technical Picture
From a technical standpoint, Ero Copper's stock is trading above its 50-day moving average of C$38.35 and its 200-day moving average of C$37.79, indicating a bullish trend. The stock has a 52-week range of C$18.53 to C$53.69, currently trading at approximately 69% of its range. With a beta of 1.59, the stock exhibits higher volatility than the broader market, which could be a consideration for investors.
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