Ero Copper Corp has seen notable fluctuations in its stock performance this week amidst strong production reports.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO.TO) experienced a decline of 0.86% on Monday, closing at C$48.24. This week's performance reflects a more significant drop of 10.65%, although the stock remains up 12.95% over the past month and 20.93% year-to-date. The company recently announced record production figures, which have influenced market sentiment.
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Ero Copper Corp
ERO.TO
ERO.TO
Ero Copper Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$5.03B
P/E
11.8x
52W high
$56.62
52W low
$21.75
1W change
-10.65%
Beta
1.67
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ERO
Wall Street analysts forecast ERO stock price to rise 6.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$51.49
+6.7% Upside
Current Price
C$48.24
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ERO's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
67.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
70.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$57.67
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1ฯ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$51.20 | C$40.55 โ C$64.65 |
| 60 trading days | C$54.34 | C$39.07 โ C$75.57 |
| 90 trading days | C$57.67 | C$38.51 โ C$86.37 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: Ero Copper's recent production achievements position it well within the materials sector, but the stock's current volatility may be a point of concern for short-term investors.
Ero Copper Corp Reports Record Production Figures
Ero Copper achieved record copper production of 19,706 tonnes and gold production of 13,837 ounces in Q4 2025, signaling strong operational performance.
Bull case
The company reported record copper and gold production in Q4 2025, and it expects strong sales to continue through mid-2027. This indicates robust operational capabilities and a solid foundation for future growth.
Bear case
Despite the impressive production numbers, the significant drop in stock price this week raises concerns among investors about future performance and broader market conditions.
Recent Price Action
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Ero Copper Corp's stock closed at C$48.24 on Monday, marking a decline of 0.86% for the day. Over the past week, the stock has dropped 10.65%, indicating some volatility, although it has gained 12.95% over the last month and 20.93% year-to-date. The trading volume was recorded at 260,801 shares, which is lower than the 20-day average of 424,120 shares, suggesting reduced trading activity.
Company News and Production Reports
Despite a lack of recent press releases from Ero Copper, the company has been highlighted in web headlines for its record production achievements. In Q4 2025, Ero Copper reported record copper production of 19,706 tonnes and gold production of 13,837 ounces. These results contribute to strong year-end liquidity and a positive outlook for gold concentrate sales continuing through mid-2027.
Technical Picture
Ero Copper's current price is significantly above both its 50-day moving average of C$42.42 and its 200-day moving average of C$40.02, reflecting strong momentum. The stock has a 52-week trading range of C$20.60 to C$56.62, indicating that it is currently trading at 77% of its 52-week high. With a beta of 1.67, the stock is more volatile than the market, which may be a consideration for risk-averse investors.
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