Vermilion Energy Inc. has surprised investors with a significant earnings beat, signaling a potential turnaround in its performance.
On July 29, 2026, Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET.TO) reported its Q2 2026 earnings, delivering an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.86, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.67 by 28.36%. This marks a noteworthy improvement from previous quarters, showcasing the company's resilience in a challenging energy market.
Recent earnings trend
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Vermilion Energy Inc.
VET.TO
VET.TO
Vermilion Energy Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.34B
Div. yield
3.59%
Div. / share
$0.53
52W high
$20.13
52W low
$9.34
1W change
+1.77%
Beta
0.49
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering VET
Wall Street analysts forecast VET stock price to rise 24.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$20.00
+24.1% Upside
Current Price
C$16.12
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on VET's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
50.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
55.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$13.48
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$15.19 | C$12.76 – C$18.07 |
| 60 trading days | C$14.31 | C$11.19 – C$18.30 |
| 90 trading days | C$13.48 | C$9.98 – C$18.22 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.8600 | 0.6700 | +28.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | -0.9200 | 0.2400 | -483.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-04 | -2.8600 | 0.0800 | -3675.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.0200 | 0.1900 | -89.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.4800 | -0.1400 | +442.9% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-29 | 0.1000 | 0.2343 | -57.3% |
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Investor takeaway: With a solid earnings beat and positive trends in revenue expectations, Vermilion Energy may be heading towards a more stable financial future. Investors should monitor upcoming analyst consensus and market conditions closely as the company navigates its strategic initiatives.
Bull case
The strong earnings performance shows that Vermilion is effectively managing costs and improving operational efficiencies. Plus, the renewal of the normal course issuer bid could boost shareholder value by minimizing share dilution.
Bear case
Even with the earnings beat, Vermilion's profit margin is still negative, and the company has a history of significant earnings volatility. Investors should stay cautious about potential market fluctuations and operational challenges in the energy sector.
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Wealth Awesome
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