Taseko Mines Ltd fell short of earnings expectations for the latest quarter, raising questions about its ongoing operational performance.
On August 4, 2026, Taseko Mines Ltd (TKO.TO) reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.11, which was below the analyst estimate of $0.12. This represents a surprise of -8.33%, continuing a trend of missing earnings expectations over the last several quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Taseko Mines Ltd
TKO.TO
TKO.TO
Taseko Mines Ltd
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Market cap
$4.26B
P/E
388.0x
52W high
$12.47
52W low
$4.19
1W change
+23.04%
Beta
2.01
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TKO
Wall Street analysts forecast TKO stock price to rise 18.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$13.79
+18.4% Upside
Current Price
C$11.64
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TKO's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
87.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
75.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+28.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$12.90
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$12.05 | C$8.92 – C$16.27 |
| 60 trading days | C$12.46 | C$8.15 – C$19.07 |
| 90 trading days | C$12.90 | C$7.66 – C$21.71 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-11 | — | 0.2000 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-04 | 0.1100 | 0.1200 | -8.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.0800 | 0.0800 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.1100 | 0.1200 | -8.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | 0.0200 | 0.0300 | -33.3% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | -0.0400 | -0.0400 | +0.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Despite the earnings miss, Taseko's stock has performed well recently, increasing by 26.80% over the last month. Investors should consider the potential for future growth, especially with a significant EPS growth estimate of 375% year-over-year.
Bull case
Investors might feel optimistic about Taseko's projected EPS growth and the potential for improving operational efficiencies. The company is focused on expanding its production capabilities, which could lead to better financial results in the upcoming quarters.
Bear case
On the other hand, the continuous earnings misses and a high P/E ratio of 388 may raise concerns among investors, suggesting that the stock could be overvalued compared to its earnings. Additionally, the lack of revenue consensus and limited analyst coverage may contribute to the uncertainty surrounding Taseko's financial health.
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