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Stella-Jones Inc. SJ Earnings Miss Estimates by 13.1%

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Stella-Jones Inc. has reported its second-quarter earnings, falling short of analyst expectations and revealing mixed performance across its product segments.

On August 6, 2026, Stella-Jones Inc. (TSX: SJ) announced its second-quarter financial results for the period ending June 30, 2026. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of CAD 1.59, which was 13.1% below the consensus estimate of CAD 1.83. Despite an increase in total sales, operational challenges and rising costs have pressured margins, leading to a disappointing earnings report.

Recent earnings trend

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Stella-Jones Inc.

SJ.TO

Full stock page โ†’

SJ.TO

Stella-Jones Inc.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†“ $28.08 (-29.09%)
120 day period
$68.44$82.48$96.53Mar 16Jun 10Sep 3

Market cap

$3.74B

P/E

14.5x

Div. yield

1.91%

Div. / share

$1.30

52W high

$100.01

52W low

$67.41

1W change

-2.33%

Beta

0.30

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering SJ

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast SJ stock price to rise 27.9% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$87.56

+27.9% Upside

Current Price

C$68.45

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV โ†’

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on SJ's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$39.46C$48.93C$58.39C$67.85C$77.31C$86.77TodayApr 28Jul 2Sep 3Oct 16Nov 29Jan 11

30-Day Vol

28.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

29.5%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$57.26

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$64.49C$58.44 โ€“ C$71.18
60 trading daysC$60.77C$52.86 โ€“ C$69.86
90 trading daysC$57.26C$48.26 โ€“ C$67.92

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 5 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-04โ€”1.7400โ€”
2026-06-302026-08-061.59001.8300-13.1%
2026-03-312026-05-061.12001.1800-5.1%
2025-12-312026-02-260.91001.0200-10.8%
2025-09-302025-11-051.59001.5600+1.9%
2025-06-302025-08-071.91001.7800+7.3%
0.00000.95501.9100 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (โ‰ฅ0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Investors should closely monitor Stella-Jones' ability to navigate cost pressures and improve margins in the second half of the year, especially as the company anticipates a recovery in pricing mechanisms and operational efficiencies.

EPS Misses by CAD 0.24

Stella-Jones reported an EPS of CAD 1.59 against an estimate of CAD 1.83, marking a significant miss of 13.1%.

Bull case

The utility products segment showed strong performance with increased sales and contributions from recent acquisitions. This suggests a solid foundation for future growth. Management is focusing on operational efficiency and network optimization, which could lead to positive results in the latter half of 2026.

Bear case

The adjusted EBITDA margin dropped from 18.3% to 16.0%, indicating significant cost pressures that could hurt profitability. Additionally, the company is facing challenges with lower pricing in residential lumber and railway ties, reflecting a tough market environment.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFAยฎ charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFPยฎ) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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๐Ÿ“Š Data AccuracyVerified sources
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian FocusLocal expertise
๐Ÿ” Fact-CheckedEditorial review

โš ๏ธ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 10, 2026
Last Updated: August 10, 2026
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