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Why Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc stock is tanking today

By Wealth Awesome -

This move is archived. Current quotes and coverage live on the stock page.

Stocks & ETFs:GFL.TO

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Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc (GFL.TO) faced a notable decline of 1.56% in the last trading session, raising concerns among investors about its future prospects amidst a challenging market environment.

In yesterday's trading session, GFL Environmental Holdings Inc saw its stock price drop to CA$48.74, down 1.56%. This decline comes as the company navigates the complexities of expanding its renewable natural gas (RNG) projects while addressing ongoing financial pressures.

Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious as GFL's recent performance reflects underlying challenges, including high leverage and the need for sustainable cash flow amidst ambitious growth plans.

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Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc

GFL.TO

Full stock page โ†’

GFL.TO

Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†‘ $1.55 (2.77%)
120 day period
$46.26$54.39$62.52Mar 20Jun 16Sep 10

Market cap

$21.41B

Div. yield

0.15%

Div. / share

$0.08

52W high

$66.78

52W low

$46.10

1W change

-4.12%

Beta

0.49

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering GFL

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast GFL stock price to rise 26.0% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$72.50

+26.0% Upside

Current Price

C$57.52

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV โ†’

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on GFL's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$44.87C$55.85C$66.83C$77.81C$88.79C$99.76TodayMay 4Jul 8Sep 10Oct 23Dec 6Jan 18

30-Day Vol

28.7%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

29.7%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$68.77

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$61.05C$55.30 โ€“ C$67.39
60 trading daysC$64.79C$56.34 โ€“ C$74.52
90 trading daysC$68.77C$57.94 โ€“ C$81.61

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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1.56% Decline in GFL Environmental's Stock Price

With a market cap of CA$17.91 billion, GFL's stock performance is under scrutiny as it struggles to balance growth investments with high debt obligations.

Bull case

GFL is currently building RNG facilities in partnership with OPAL Fuels, which could boost its revenue and align with sustainability goals. This partnership has the potential to drive long-term growth for the company.

Bear case

However, GFL's high P/E ratio of 97.08 and recent revenue declines in Environmental Services raise concerns about its valuation and ability to generate consistent profits. These factors could hinder its growth potential.

Market Reaction to Recent Developments

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GFL's recent partnership with OPAL Fuels to develop RNG facilities has not been enough to bolster investor confidence, especially as the stock experiences a downturn. The market is reacting to the dual pressures of high debt and the need for consistent cash flow, which raises questions about the sustainability of GFL's growth narrative.

Financial Metrics Under Scrutiny

With a P/E ratio exceeding 97, GFL Environmental's valuation appears stretched, particularly as it faces challenges in generating stable profits. The recent decline in stock price highlights investor concerns over its financial health, especially in light of its ambitious revenue growth targets for the coming years.

Future Outlook: Balancing Growth and Debt

As GFL continues to invest in RNG projects, the company must navigate the fine line between funding growth and managing its debt obligations. Investors will be closely monitoring how GFL balances these competing priorities, particularly in a market that is increasingly focused on sustainable and profitable growth.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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โœ… Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFAยฎ charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFPยฎ) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFAยฎ charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFPยฎ professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

๐Ÿ“Š Data AccuracyVerified sources
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian FocusLocal expertise
๐Ÿ” Fact-CheckedEditorial review

โš ๏ธ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: June 8, 2026
Last Updated: June 8, 2026
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