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NGEx's Losses Widen as Focus Shifts to Spin-Out and Drilling - Our Take

By Wealth Awesome Newsroom -

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NGEx Minerals reported a wider net loss in Q4 as it pivots towards a spin-out of its royalty company and a drilling program at Lunahuasi. The stock is under pressure amid these developments.

In its latest earnings report, NGEx Minerals (NGEX.TO) revealed a widened net loss for the fourth quarter, highlighting ongoing challenges as the company focuses on strategic initiatives. Investors are particularly watching the spin-out of its royalty company and the drilling plans at Lunahuasi, which could reshape its future prospects. With a market cap of CA$1.92 billion, the company is navigating a complex landscape as it seeks to enhance shareholder value.

Investor takeaway: Short-term sentiment may be cautious, but the long-term thesis hinges on successful execution of the spin-out and drilling projects.

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LunR Royalties Corp.

LUNR.V

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LUNR.V

LunR Royalties Corp.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$8.52 (65.64%)
111 day period
$12.98$21.81$30.65Dec 22Mar 16Jun 8

Market cap

$1.40B

52W high

$32.49

52W low

$11.22

1W change

+0.00%

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on LUNR's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$9.06C$14.38C$19.70C$25.02C$30.34C$35.66TodayJan 23Apr 6Jun 8Jul 21Sep 3Oct 16

30-Day Vol

54.8%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

73.8%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$17.98

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$20.26C$16.77C$24.47
60 trading daysC$19.09C$14.61C$24.94
90 trading daysC$17.98C$12.96C$24.95

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Assessing NGEx's Financial Health Amid Strategic Shifts

With a trailing P/E of 0x and a forward P/E also at 0x, NGEx Minerals is currently viewed as a high-risk investment. The market is likely pricing in the uncertainty surrounding its recent losses and the effectiveness of its upcoming drilling program at Lunahuasi. Investors will need to monitor how these strategic moves impact future earnings and overall market sentiment.

Bull case

The potential spin-out of the royalty company could unlock significant value for shareholders. If successful, this move may attract new investments and provide the capital needed for ongoing exploration. Additionally, drilling at Lunahuasi could yield promising results, enhancing resource estimates and boosting investor confidence. The company's strong market cap suggests that some investors still believe in its long-term strategy, which could pay off if these initiatives succeed.

Bear case

On the flip side, the widened losses raise concerns about operational efficiency and cash flow. The lack of immediate profitability, with a profit margin of 0.00%, might deter new investors from jumping on board. Moreover, market volatility could impact the success of the planned initiatives, leaving existing investors worried about their stakes in the company.

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Wealth Awesome Newsroom
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Wealth Awesome Newsroom

The Wealth Awesome Newsroom delivers timely Canadian market updates, earnings, dividends, and stock movers for DIY investors. Coverage is reviewed against public filings and market data feeds.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: March 27, 2026
Last Updated: March 27, 2026

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